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Red122
29236.1
695627.0
102431.1
Blue101
150134.9
314725.0
427235.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99105050150200250122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#8
36.11.9
37.038.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End9.7
red by 0.7
35.50.2
34.835.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
31.11.9
30.632.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End8.5
blue by 3.8
1501
#15
34.90.2
36.937.1
Auto6.1
Teleop17.9
End11.0
Third
6956
#19
27.01.9
26.228.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End10.9
red by 2.0
3147
#26
25.00.2
26.426.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned