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Red126
745748.5
317633.5
314725.0
Blue79
427235.5
501028.0
649824.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219140608010014016018020012679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.2
49.549.7
Auto14.3
Teleop21.6
End12.6
red by 13.1
35.50.2
35.835.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
Second
33.50.2
34.134.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.8
End2.7
red by 5.5
28.00.2
28.328.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End9.0
Third
3147
#26
25.00.2
26.026.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End12.4
red by 0.3
6498
#14
24.70.2
25.024.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End5.5