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Red46
765711.3
348718.8
761714.8
Blue33
811610.2
810313.0
102421.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060804633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#10
18.80.4
18.719.1
Auto4.2
Teleop0.7
End13.8
blue by 3.1
21.90.5
19.619.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End7.5
Second
14.80.7
8.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 1.8
8103
#14
13.00.8
7.46.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End5.1
Third
7657
#21
11.30.7
12.313.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 1.1
8116
#19
10.20.5
9.28.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsMissed