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Red28
1359.9
355916.3
716.8
Blue30
15299.1
172015.6
23419.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34411020305060702830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3559
#17
16.30.6
13.012.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 3.4
234
#12
19.60.8
13.913.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End6.9
Second
135
#22
9.91.0
12.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 5.7
15.60.5
16.916.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
71
#25
6.81.0
7.66.6
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 2.2
1529
#29
9.10.8
6.55.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed