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Red75
745413.3
67217.7
745736.9
Blue54
101812.3
317616.3
355916.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574020801007554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.2
28.430.6
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End10.1
red by 20.6
3176
#20
16.30.7
13.213.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Second
7454
#15
13.31.3
14.716.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End6.1
blue by 3.0
3559
#17
16.30.4
13.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
6721
#28
7.72.2
7.910.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End2.7
blue by 4.6
1018
#18
12.30.7
12.813.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed