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Red55
394037.1
811610.2
101812.3
Blue50
649814.9
44718.7
355916.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644120801005550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.4
35.435.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End11.7
red by 18.4
447
#9
18.70.6
12.713.2
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End8.0
Second
1018
#18
12.30.6
13.512.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 3.9
3559
#17
16.30.6
14.114.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Third
8116
#19
10.20.4
8.27.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 4.7
6498
#13
14.90.6
15.015.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed