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Red39
716.8
448514.2
317616.3
Blue78
102421.9
44718.7
695624.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346002040801003978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#20
16.30.3
15.716.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 7.9
24.21.4
19.420.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End10.6
Second
4485
#23
14.20.4
13.914.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End4.1
blue by 7.7
21.91.4
20.221.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End7.5
Third
71
#25
6.80.3
5.86.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.6
blue by 11.9
447
#9
18.71.4
13.214.6
Auto6.8
Teleop3.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned