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Red40
761714.8
518810.0
492618.0
Blue26
4515.8
67217.7
765711.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060801004026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#11
18.00.0
12.912.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End3.6
red by 2.2
45
#6
15.80.9
15.614.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Second
14.80.0
13.213.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 3.5
7657
#21
11.31.2
12.511.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
5188
#26
10.00.0
9.59.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.3
red by 2.3
6721
#28
7.71.2
11.210.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsMissed