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Red44
317616.3
17418.8
649814.9
Blue55
811610.2
719816.0
761714.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4338102030506070804455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#20
16.30.3
16.116.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
red by 0.4
16.01.5
14.015.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.2
Second
6498
#13
14.90.3
14.915.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.3
red by 0.1
14.81.5
13.314.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Third
1741
#27
8.80.3
9.29.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 1.4
8116
#19
10.21.3
8.910.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned