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Red27
74778.3
4479.4
823210.9
Blue40
87429.5
393617.4
501016.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2826101520303540452740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8232
#21
10.90.1
6.26.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
blue by 6.5
3936
#11
17.40.8
6.97.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.9
End13.0
Second
447
#22
9.40.1
11.411.5
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.6
blue by 7.6
5010
#14
16.90.8
10.110.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End7.0
Third
7477
#23
8.30.1
8.68.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End2.0
blue by 1.2
8742
#16
9.50.8
8.08.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned