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Red17
745412.9
501016.9
86811.4
Blue16
393617.4
150121.8
17478.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403702060801716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#14
16.92.2
11.99.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End7.0
blue by 4.8
21.82.6
13.410.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Second
7454
#12
12.92.2
12.510.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End7.0
blue by 4.5
3936
#11
17.42.6
9.67.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.9
End13.0
Third
868
#17
11.42.2
12.810.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End4.1
red by 3.3
1747
#28
8.12.6
12.59.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed