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Red22
745412.9
695615.9
21976.1
Blue5
49825.4
314710.9
17478.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300102040506070225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#26
15.91.5
9.88.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.8
red by 5.1
3147
#13
10.92.6
12.39.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Second
7454
#12
12.91.5
14.513.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End7.0
red by 4.8
1747
#28
8.12.6
8.86.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Third
2197
#24
6.11.5
7.25.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End2.5
red by 0.7
4982
#31
5.42.6
7.54.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed