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Red50
823210.9
102420.4
81168.4
Blue16
87429.5
38657.0
86811.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050605016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.42.1
16.618.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.1
red by 9.0
868
#17
11.41.6
14.312.7
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End4.1
Second
8232
#21
10.92.1
7.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
red by 1.4
8742
#16
9.51.6
10.18.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Third
8116
#27
8.42.1
7.09.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End3.4
red by 1.4
3865
#30
7.01.6
6.14.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed