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Red27
164610.2
17478.1
46125.3
Blue29
172012.4
348719.0
823210.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36480102030406070802729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#4
25.31.3
17.516.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End11.7
red by 6.3
19.01.6
18.016.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.2
End12.8
Second
1646
#20
10.21.3
10.49.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.1
blue by 2.2
1720
#18
12.41.6
15.914.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
1747
#28
8.11.3
7.15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 2.8
8232
#21
10.91.6
9.68.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsMissed