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Red38
548419.6
49825.4
649814.6
Blue44
427229.0
4479.4
86811.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36520102030406070803844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.3
14.014.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.9
blue by 9.4
29.00.3
24.023.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End10.0
Second
6498
#25
14.60.3
13.313.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.2
red by 3.1
868
#17
11.40.3
12.512.2
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End4.1
Third
4982
#31
5.40.3
8.28.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 4.0
447
#22
9.40.3
10.410.1
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed