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Red48
102420.4
82916.9
54025.9
Blue41
172012.4
501016.9
164610.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340102030406070804841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
19.820.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.1
red by 3.5
5010
#14
16.90.8
10.211.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End7.0
Second
829
#9
16.90.6
14.915.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End6.8
red by 4.5
1720
#18
12.40.8
14.215.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
Third
5402
#29
5.90.6
7.68.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.1
End1.9
blue by 4.4
1646
#20
10.20.8
9.09.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed