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Red26
4479.4
695615.9
49825.4
Blue52
46125.3
81168.4
87429.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3439102030506070802652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#26
15.90.7
14.013.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.8
blue by 9.4
461
#4
25.31.3
19.220.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End11.7
Second
447
#22
9.40.7
10.19.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.9
End2.6
blue by 0.1
8742
#16
9.51.3
10.211.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Third
4982
#31
5.40.7
8.57.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 3.0
8116
#27
8.41.3
6.47.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned