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Red32
649814.6
172012.4
81168.4
Blue43
82916.9
29220.3
823210.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36480102030406070803243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6498
#25
14.60.7
14.613.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.2
blue by 5.7
292
#7
20.30.4
17.316.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End9.9
Second
1720
#18
12.40.7
13.212.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
blue by 4.5
829
#9
16.90.4
17.116.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End6.8
Third
8116
#27
8.40.7
7.66.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End3.4
blue by 2.5
8232
#21
10.90.4
8.88.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned