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Red49
501016.9
150121.8
49825.4
Blue68
823210.9
46125.3
548419.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445010203040607080904968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.2
20.120.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End6.4
blue by 3.5
461
#4
25.31.8
21.122.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End11.7
Second
5010
#14
16.90.2
15.816.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End7.0
blue by 2.7
19.61.8
16.818.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.9
Third
4982
#31
5.40.2
6.36.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End2.0
blue by 5.5
8232
#21
10.91.8
8.310.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsEarned