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Red55
314710.9
172012.4
29220.3
Blue44
695615.9
102420.4
649814.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415720801005544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#7
20.31.0
19.320.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End9.9
blue by 0.2
20.40.6
21.721.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.1
Second
1720
#18
12.41.1
11.212.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
blue by 3.5
6956
#26
15.90.6
16.015.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Third
3147
#13
10.91.1
10.411.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End4.4
blue by 3.7
6498
#25
14.60.6
14.213.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsMissed