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Red48
74778.3
82916.9
86811.4
Blue43
355912.4
745412.9
4512.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333310203040504843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#9
16.91.9
13.615.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End6.8
red by 4.0
7454
#12
12.91.3
10.211.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End7.0
Second
868
#17
11.41.9
10.512.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End4.1
blue by 1.0
3559
#19
12.41.3
11.813.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Third
7477
#23
8.31.9
6.78.6
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End2.0
blue by 3.9
45
#15
12.21.3
9.110.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned