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Red44
349418.0
17478.1
102420.4
Blue31
314710.9
823210.9
695615.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432801020506070804431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
13.814.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.1
red by 4.5
6956
#26
15.90.3
8.89.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Second
3494
#10
18.00.6
15.115.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
red by 7.1
8232
#21
10.90.3
5.96.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Third
1747
#28
8.10.6
9.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 2.7
3147
#13
10.90.3
13.213.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed