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Red1
93032.2
394044.9
672110.0
Blue0
492627.3
642140.5
179220.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949302040608010012010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
red by 4.5
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
Second
930
#2
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
red by 4.9
4926
#10
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Third
6721
#13
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.0
End4.5
blue by 10.4
1792
#11
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2