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Red83
394044.9
317626.3
811621.1
Blue52
179220.4
492627.3
23424.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102730501502008352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
red by 17.7
4926
#10
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Second
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
red by 1.6
234
#4
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Third
8116
#12
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.4
red by 0.7
1792
#11
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo odds52%Cargo odds
Hangar
60%Hangar odds72%Hangar odds