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Red44
492627.3
348721.1
172023.1
Blue117
642140.5
394044.9
23424.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912505010015020025044117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#10
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
blue by 17.7
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
Second
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
blue by 17.4
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
Third
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End11.9
blue by 3.6
234
#4
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo odds90%Cargo odds
Hangar
89%Hangar odds91%Hangar odds