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Semifinal 2-22022 Indy Rage
Red0
172023.1
317626.3
811621.1
Blue1
492627.3
642140.5
179220.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729705015020001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
blue by 14.1
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.3
End10.9
Second
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
blue by 4.2
4926
#10
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Third
8116
#12
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End5.4
red by 0.7
1792
#11
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2