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Red81
427233.0
29230.8
174111.4
Blue75
314718.0
317627.0
86819.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826420401001208175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.1
32.833.0
Auto11.6
Teleop11.6
End9.8
red by 6.0
27.00.3
26.526.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End5.1
Second
292
#4
30.80.1
30.730.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End11.4
red by 11.6
868
#23
19.20.3
18.618.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.9
End5.3
Third
1741
#19
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End5.7
blue by 6.5
18.00.3
17.417.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End8.8