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Red49
386512.5
314718.0
501020.4
Blue25
548430.8
765716.2
49828.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40542060801004925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#12
20.40.6
17.918.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End7.3
blue by 10.4
5484
#10
30.81.6
28.727.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End10.0
Second
18.00.6
12.012.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End8.8
red by 1.8
7657
#17
16.21.6
14.613.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
3865
#31
12.50.6
9.710.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End3.4
red by 3.9
4982
#39
8.51.6
5.94.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed