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Red64
765716.2
349421.7
393617.2
Blue88
761724.1
150134.9
74779.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575750556065707580856488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#20
21.70.7
22.122.8
Auto7.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 13.3
34.91.8
27.529.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End12.3
Second
3936
#16
17.20.7
18.319.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End12.4
blue by 6.9
7617
#26
24.11.8
16.918.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
7657
#17
16.20.7
13.013.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.2
red by 7.2
7477
#33
9.01.8
9.311.1
Auto5.1
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned