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Red77
174713.5
164614.5
427233.0
Blue62
349421.7
518816.7
314718.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63512040801007762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.3
34.435.7
Auto11.6
Teleop11.6
End9.8
red by 11.3
3494
#20
21.70.9
24.125.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Second
1646
#22
14.51.3
12.113.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 3.5
18.00.9
14.615.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End8.8
Third
1747
#18
13.51.3
11.412.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
blue by 3.2
5188
#21
16.70.9
10.411.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned