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Red81
548430.8
317627.0
101814.9
Blue70
492626.7
761724.1
672110.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7353204060801001208170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#10
30.81.0
29.630.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End10.0
red by 4.1
26.71.2
23.124.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End4.7
Second
27.01.0
23.424.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.3
End5.1
red by 3.0
7617
#26
24.11.2
20.121.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
1018
#15
14.91.0
12.813.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End5.5
red by 5.0
6721
#28
10.01.2
8.79.9
Auto4.5
Teleop1.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsEarned