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Red49
540217.6
49828.5
761724.1
Blue69
548430.8
74779.0
492626.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3675020601001204969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#26
24.10.7
21.322.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
blue by 6.7
5484
#10
30.80.2
30.630.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End10.0
Second
5402
#14
17.60.7
13.113.7
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End7.4
blue by 9.1
26.70.2
24.424.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End4.7
Third
4982
#39
8.50.7
4.65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End3.5
blue by 0.5
7477
#33
9.00.2
10.510.8
Auto5.1
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed