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Red51
765716.2
29230.8
13514.3
Blue68
174111.4
23425.0
427233.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57732040801005168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#4
30.80.6
26.325.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End11.4
blue by 2.2
33.00.4
35.535.0
Auto11.6
Teleop11.6
End9.8
Second
7657
#17
16.20.6
17.016.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.2
blue by 8.8
234
#6
25.00.4
21.521.1
Auto9.8
Teleop7.5
End7.7
Third
135
#13
14.30.6
12.211.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 2.9
1741
#19
11.40.4
9.89.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsMissed