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Red41
393617.2
49828.5
518816.7
Blue53
23425.0
765716.2
15558.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3850102030607080904153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3936
#16
17.20.3
18.518.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End12.4
blue by 7.8
234
#6
25.00.5
21.121.5
Auto9.8
Teleop7.5
End7.7
Second
5188
#21
16.70.3
13.613.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End4.2
red by 0.5
7657
#17
16.20.5
16.516.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End5.2
Third
4982
#39
8.50.3
5.35.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End3.5
blue by 0.1
1555
#29
8.60.5
8.28.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed