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Red50
492626.7
49828.5
164614.5
Blue51
174713.5
448513.7
393617.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464630405060705051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
24.424.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End4.7
red by 9.5
3936
#16
17.20.5
16.717.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End12.4
Second
1646
#22
14.50.4
13.013.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
red by 0.8
4485
#32
13.70.5
13.313.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End2.9
Third
4982
#39
8.50.4
6.36.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End3.5
blue by 4.9
1747
#18
13.50.5
12.913.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned