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Red118
153342.2
414339.2
317626.3
Blue124
571239.6
492632.1
745740.7
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115125050100150200250118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#21
42.20.6
39.239.8
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End7.4
red by 1.5
7457
#33
40.70.5
39.640.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
Second
4143
#31
39.20.6
39.339.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
blue by 0.5
5712
#23
39.60.5
42.042.6
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End8.8
Third
3176
#48
26.30.6
30.731.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
blue by 5.8
4926
#18
32.10.5
34.735.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned