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Red130
426535.9
153342.2
402842.0
Blue144
253932.8
414339.2
246840.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312490100110120130140150130144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#21
42.20.9
39.840.7
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End7.4
red by 1.5
2468
#12
40.71.4
42.243.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
Second
4028
#27
42.00.9
43.043.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
red by 2.8
4143
#31
39.21.4
39.941.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
Third
4265
#35
35.90.9
33.634.5
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.9
red by 3.0
2539
#26
32.81.4
33.634.9
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned