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Red145
82927.2
205658.5
414339.2
Blue123
409929.6
173244.7
170648.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135129406080100120160180200145123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.5
57.758.2
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 10.0
48.50.2
48.848.6
Auto11.6
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Second
4143
#31
39.20.5
41.241.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
blue by 5.6
1732
#17
44.70.2
43.142.9
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
Third
829
#38
27.20.5
26.827.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
blue by 2.4
4099
#40
29.60.2
29.929.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned