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Red133
394037.0
3349.8
335738.5
Blue120
233832.3
172023.1
19539.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14083050100200250133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
49.80.6
48.048.5
Auto12.2
Teleop26.0
End11.6
red by 10.3
195
#5
39.52.1
36.238.3
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End11.1
Second
3357
#28
38.50.6
39.640.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
red by 6.2
2338
#46
32.32.1
33.135.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.5
End12.5
Third
3940
#34
37.00.6
36.737.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
red by 13.9
1720
#42
23.12.1
15.617.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned