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Red136
414339.2
173244.7
133944.1
Blue121
205658.5
276748.6
32520.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137144050100200250300136121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
44.70.2
42.943.1
Auto11.8
Teleop24.9
End8.0
blue by 13.7
58.51.4
58.256.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
44.10.2
44.945.1
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
blue by 4.4
48.61.4
50.549.1
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End10.7
Third
4143
#31
39.20.2
41.741.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End9.0
red by 18.8
325
#39
20.41.4
25.724.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed