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Red139
335738.5
198739.6
205658.5
Blue118
58736.1
62444.8
394037.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151127050100200250139118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.0
57.857.8
Auto15.9
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 13.7
624
#44
44.80.5
47.046.5
Auto14.2
Teleop21.1
End9.4
Second
1987
#32
39.60.0
40.941.0
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End6.4
red by 2.6
3940
#34
37.00.5
34.233.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Third
3357
#28
38.50.0
39.839.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
red by 2.4
587
#14
36.10.5
40.540.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned