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Red89
745740.7
82927.2
335738.5
Blue112
394037.0
253932.8
501022.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239005015020089112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#33
40.71.5
43.742.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End10.5
red by 3.8
3940
#34
37.01.5
33.735.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Second
3357
#28
38.51.5
39.838.3
Auto8.7
Teleop19.5
End10.3
red by 5.7
2539
#26
32.81.5
31.132.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.7
Third
829
#38
27.21.5
28.026.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End8.0
red by 4.7
5010
#43
22.51.5
24.125.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned