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Red105
402842.0
173033.7
246840.7
Blue107
317528.4
317626.3
394037.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13687050100150200105107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#27
42.01.1
43.942.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.6
red by 5.0
3940
#34
37.01.3
35.737.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End10.8
Second
2468
#12
40.71.1
42.341.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.9
End11.7
red by 12.3
3175
#24
28.41.3
27.428.7
Auto7.9
Teleop18.2
End2.3
Third
1730
#22
33.71.1
35.234.1
Auto7.3
Teleop17.4
End9.0
red by 7.3
3176
#48
26.31.3
25.126.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed