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Red128
169069.8
157758.8
306516.4
Blue61
321126.2
383523.0
599010.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18447010015020025012861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.80.7
73.172.5
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
red by 43.6
3211
#13
26.20.5
26.726.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End7.9
Second
58.80.7
62.261.5
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
red by 35.9
3835
#11
23.00.5
23.523.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
3065
#35
16.40.7
19.719.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
red by 5.8
5990
#39
10.70.5
11.210.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3