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Red100
157436.9
571525.9
165722.8
Blue92
703929.1
784532.1
513520.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888770809010011010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#10
36.90.4
35.636.0
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
red by 4.8
32.10.1
32.132.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End12.0
Second
25.90.4
24.625.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
blue by 3.2
7039
#14
29.10.1
29.129.2
Auto6.0
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Third
1657
#19
22.80.4
21.521.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8
red by 2.0
5135
#26
20.80.1
20.820.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2