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Red116
599010.7
598727.8
169069.8
Blue118
157758.8
822318.9
784532.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11591406080100140160116118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.80.5
70.170.6
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
red by 11.0
58.82.0
46.148.1
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
Second
27.80.5
21.822.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
blue by 4.3
32.12.0
30.232.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End12.0
Third
5990
#39
10.70.5
13.313.8
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
blue by 8.2
8223
#30
18.92.0
12.414.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned82%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned