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Red69
459026.2
817516.4
321126.2
Blue64
595120.8
599010.7
331628.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61712040801001206964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#13
26.20.7
20.821.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End7.9
blue by 2.4
3316
#16
28.60.1
28.328.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Second
4590
#21
26.20.7
23.724.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7
red by 5.4
5951
#28
20.80.1
21.521.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End4.7
Third
8175
#27
16.40.7
13.814.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
red by 5.7
5990
#39
10.70.1
15.315.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned