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Red42
308315.7
563513.8
194314.7
Blue72
338826.2
474420.9
223014.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4770204060801001201404272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#33
15.70.3
14.414.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.6
End2.7
blue by 10.4
3388
#29
26.20.4
24.925.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Second
1943
#36
14.70.3
15.214.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End5.5
blue by 6.3
4744
#23
20.90.4
20.621.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Third
5635
#38
13.80.3
17.116.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
blue by 1.1
2230
#37
14.90.4
16.817.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed