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Red68
784532.1
513520.8
306516.4
Blue83
706724.8
209624.9
223129.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878040601001201406883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.4
33.532.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End12.0
red by 2.2
2231
#17
29.90.2
28.428.6
Auto7.8
Teleop17.7
End4.4
Second
5135
#26
20.81.4
21.319.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
blue by 4.1
24.90.2
23.223.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Third
3065
#35
16.41.4
25.924.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
blue by 8.4
24.80.2
24.424.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned