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Red99
209624.9
157436.9
616815.9
Blue49
610416.4
817516.4
383523.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786020401001209949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#10
36.91.9
33.735.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End8.6
red by 13.9
3835
#11
23.00.6
24.724.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Second
24.91.9
23.225.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
red by 8.5
8175
#27
16.40.6
17.016.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Third
6168
#40
15.91.9
14.115.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 0.4
6104
#32
16.40.6
17.016.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed